← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Dec 12, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Dierick
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 64% | 1.52 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.12 |
| Mechelen win | 16% | 6.13 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −1.25 | 52% | 1.90 |
| St. Gilloise −1.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.49 |
| Under | 35% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
| 16' | 🟨 | Guillaume François · St. Gilloise |
| 35' | ⚽ | Dante Vanzeir · St. Gilloise |
| 46' | 🟨 | Casper Nielsen · St. Gilloise |
| 52' | 🟨 | Alec Van Hoorenbeeck · Mechelen |
| 55' | ⚽ | Teddy Teuma · St. Gilloise |
| 69' | 🟨 | Christian Burgess · St. Gilloise |
| 70' | 🟨 | Siebe Van Der Heyden · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Mariën |
| coach days | 590.00 | 1229.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 4.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1611.25 | 1618.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.10 | -12.96 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | — |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.74 |
| league points | 37.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 16.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 8.80 | 6.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.95 | 1.74 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | -0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.49 | 27.75 |
| state index | 0.43 | -0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.46 | 0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |