← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Dec 12, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 49% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
| Standard win | 25% | 3.84 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Antwerp −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟥 | Damjan Pavlović · Standard |
| 27' | 🟨 | Collins Fai · Standard |
| 45' | 🟥 | Abdoulaye Seck · Antwerp |
| 45' | 🟨 | Selim Amallah · Standard |
| 50' | 🟨 | Alhassan Yusuf · Antwerp |
| 55' | 🟨 | Noe Dussenne · Standard |
| 57' | ⚽ | Konstantinos Laifis · Standard |
| 59' | 🟨 | Nicolas Raskin · Standard |
| 64' | 🟨 | Radja Nainggolan · Antwerp |
| 64' | 🟨 | Merveille Bokadi · Standard |
| 66' | ⚽ | Björn Engels · Antwerp |
| 77' | ⚽ | Michel Ange Balikwisha · Antwerp |
| 87' | ⚽ | Mehdi Carcela-González · Standard |
| 89' | ⚽ | Jackson Muleka · Standard |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jean Butez · Antwerp |
| 90' | 🟥 | Jelle Bataille · Antwerp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 2 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antwerp | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.57 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Bosuilstadion |
| coach days | 194.00 | 164.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 1.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1657.56 | 1510.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.27 | -6.27 |
| eye test v1 | 0.63 | -0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.62 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 51.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.66 |
| league points | 35.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 2.78 | 6.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.48 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.84 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | -0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 24.99 | 25.41 |
| state index | 0.71 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.30 | -0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |