← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sat, Dec 4, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: W. De Cremer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oostende win | 41% | 2.45 |
| AS Eupen win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.88 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Eupen −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Oostende −0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.63 |
| Under | 42% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Kenny Rocha Santos · Oostende |
| 14' | ⚽ | Smail Prevljak · AS Eupen |
| 35' | 🟨 | Jens Cools · AS Eupen |
| 74' | ⚽ | Makhtar Gueye · Oostende |
| 81' | ⚽ | Nick Bätzner · Oostende |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alfons Amade · Oostende |
| 90' | 🟨 | Stef Peeters · AS Eupen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 4 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oostende | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Diaz Arena |
| coach days | 521.00 | 917.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 1.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1462.21 | 1540.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -52.30 | -41.57 |
| eye test v1 | -1.16 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 61.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.76 |
| league points | 17.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 15.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 5.90 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | 0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.17 | 25.60 |
| state index | -1.27 | -0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | 0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |