← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Nov 28, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Dierick
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 58% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.18 |
| Oostende win | 19% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Oostende −0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.61 |
| Under | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟨 | Vincent Koziello · Oostende |
| 48' | ⚽ | Viktor Fischer · Antwerp |
| 53' | 🟨 | Pierre Dwomoh · Antwerp |
| 62' | ⚽ | Michael Frey · Antwerp |
| 80' | ⚽ | Manuel Benson · Antwerp |
| 84' | 🟨 | Théo Ndicka Matam · Oostende |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 4 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antwerp | Oostende |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Bosuilstadion |
| coach days | 180.00 | 515.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.25 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1634.49 | 1469.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.64 | -54.36 |
| eye test v1 | -0.63 | -0.88 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.10 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.62 |
| league points | 29.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.52 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.18 | -0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.31 | 24.90 |
| state index | 0.22 | -1.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.58 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |