← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Nov 21, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Boucaut
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 52% | 1.97 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.83 |
| Beerschot VA win | 23% | 4.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Beerschot VA +0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Genk +0.5 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.55 |
| Under | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Lawrence Shankland · Beerschot VA |
| 54' | 🟨 | Kristian Thorstvedt · Genk |
| 62' | 🟨 | Joren Dom · Beerschot VA |
| 90' | ⚽ | Moisés Caicedo · Beerschot VA |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 19 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 5 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Beerschot VA | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Olympisch Stadion |
| coach days | 81.00 | 385.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1453.48 | 1653.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.38 | -8.42 |
| eye test v1 | 0.43 | 0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 41.90 | 65.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.90 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.56 |
| league points | 7.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 15.10 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 0.44 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.98 | 0.91 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.16 | 23.70 |
| state index | -0.10 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.48 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |