← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Nov 21, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: K. Van Damme
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 61% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.34 |
| Oostende win | 16% | 5.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise +1 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Oostende +1 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Deniz Undav · St. Gilloise |
| 16' | ⚽ | Deniz Undav · St. Gilloise |
| 23' | ⚽ | Thierry Ambrose · Oostende |
| 31' | ⚽ | Casper Nielsen · St. Gilloise |
| 45' | ⚽ | Christian Burgess · St. Gilloise |
| 54' | 🟨 | Brecht Capon · Oostende |
| 60' | ⚽ | Deniz Undav · St. Gilloise |
| 70' | ⚽ | Christian Burgess · St. Gilloise |
| 80' | ⚽ | Deniz Undav · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 4 |
| 6 | Shots | 15 |
| 1 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oostende | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Diaz Arena |
| coach days | 508.00 | 569.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.24 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 3.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1485.85 | 1631.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.17 | 81.23 |
| eye test v1 | -0.88 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | -0.59 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 63.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | — |
| league points | 17.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 15.91 | 14.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.47 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 2.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.33 | -0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 24.47 | 26.53 |
| state index | -0.52 | 1.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | -0.97 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |