← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Nov 21, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: W. Smet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 66% | 1.47 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.78 |
| Kortrijk win | 13% | 7.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk −1.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Anderlecht −1.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.61 |
| Under | 41% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Kevin Vandendriessche · Kortrijk |
| 36' | ⚽ | Pape Habib Gueye · Kortrijk |
| 51' | ⚽ (og) | Trent Sainsbury · Anderlecht |
| 52' | 🟨 | Pape Habib Gueye · Kortrijk |
| 60' | 🟥 | Benito Raman · Anderlecht |
| 60' | 🟨 | Abdelkahar Kadri · Kortrijk |
| 71' | 🟨 | Trent Sainsbury · Kortrijk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 477.00 | 293.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1639.96 | 1487.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.76 | -2.79 |
| eye test v1 | 0.62 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.74 |
| league points | 23.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 13.79 | 14.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.81 | -0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 23.59 | 26.04 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | -0.87 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |