← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sat, Nov 20, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Put
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 66% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.22 |
| Waregem win | 14% | 7.92 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Waregem +1.5 | 53% | 1.88 |
| Gent +1.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.47 |
| Under | 35% | 2.85 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | David Hubert · Waregem |
| 40' | 🟨 | Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe · Gent |
| 55' | ⚽ | Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe · Gent |
| 56' | 🟨 | Jean-Luc Dompé · Waregem |
| 58' | 🟨 | Julien De Sart · Gent |
| 73' | 🟨 | Idrissa Doumbia · Waregem |
| 75' | ⚽ | Laurent Depoitre · Gent |
| 82' | ⚽ | Zinho Gano · Waregem |
| 83' | 🟨 | Laurens De Bock · Waregem |
| 88' | 🟨 | Michael Ngadeu · Gent |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alessio Castro-Montes · Gent |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waregem | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Elindus Arena |
| coach days | 3642.00 | 354.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 2.86 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1480.53 | 1671.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.23 | 2.78 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.48 | -0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.00 | 61.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.83 |
| league points | 15.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.20 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 14.09 | 13.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.56 | 0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.05 | 27.56 |
| state index | -0.66 | 0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.65 | 0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |