β Jupiler Pro League 2021 Β· Sat, Nov 20, 03:15 PM UTC Β· ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 39% | 2.55 |
| Charleroi win | 33% | 3.16 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi β0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Club Brugge β0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | β½ | Ryota Morioka Β· Charleroi |
| 8' | β½ | Loic Bessile Β· Charleroi |
| 38' | π¨ | Rabbi Matondo Β· Club Brugge |
| 51' | π¨ | Marco Ilaimaharitra Β· Charleroi |
| 54' | π¨ | Loic Bessile Β· Charleroi |
| 66' | π¨ | Leonardo Lopes Β· Club Brugge |
| 75' | π¨ | Ryota Morioka Β· Charleroi |
| 89' | π¨ | Joris Kayembe Β· Charleroi |
| 90' | β½ | Jesper Daland Β· Club Brugge |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 24 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Jan Breydelstadion |
| coach days | 19.00 | 142.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.76 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1588.54 | 1578.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.99 | 32.82 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | 0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.40 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.75 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.73 |
| league points | 37.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.80 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 0.81 | 13.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.09 | 0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 23.50 | 23.98 |
| state index | -0.15 | 0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.63 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |