← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sat, Nov 6, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 50% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| St Truiden win | 24% | 3.90 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Mechelen −0.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ (og) | Lucas Bijker · St Truiden |
| 66' | 🟨 | Taichi Hara · St Truiden |
| 68' | 🟨 | Yuma Suzuki · St Truiden |
| 70' | 🟨 | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
| 82' | 🟨 | Daiki Hashioka · St Truiden |
| 87' | 🟥 | Robert Bauer · St Truiden |
| 88' | 🟨 | Dimitri Lavalėe · St Truiden |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jorge Teixeira · St Truiden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 6 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne |
| coach days | 1193.00 | 128.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1631.86 | 1476.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 40.54 | -41.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.65 | 0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.64 |
| league points | 26.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 7.95 | 6.95 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.03 | -0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.16 | 26.64 |
| state index | 0.91 | -0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | -1.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |