← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sat, Nov 6, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: N. Verboomen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Eupen win | 60% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.50 |
| Waregem win | 18% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Eupen −1 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Waregem −1 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.44 |
| Under | 33% | 2.88 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Jordi Amat · AS Eupen |
| 33' | 🟨 | Isaac Nuhu · AS Eupen |
| 35' | ⚽ (pen) | Jelle Vossen · Waregem |
| 39' | ⚽ | Isaac Nuhu · AS Eupen |
| 63' | 🟨 | Abdoulaye Sissako · Waregem |
| 86' | 🟨 | Stef Peeters · AS Eupen |
| 88' | 🟨 | David Hubert · Waregem |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Eupen | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadion am Kehrweg |
| coach days | 889.00 | 3628.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1556.08 | 1476.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.04 | -12.76 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | -0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.47 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 63.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.61 |
| league points | 24.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 40.40 |
| rest days | 7.04 | 6.11 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 0.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.63 | -0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.21 | 26.92 |
| state index | -0.22 | -0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | -0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |