← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sat, Oct 30, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 45% | 2.16 |
| Kortrijk win | 29% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.79 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard −0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Kortrijk −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | 🟨 | Kristof D'Haene · Kortrijk |
| 43' | 🟨 | Mathias Fixelles · Kortrijk |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marlos Moreno · Kortrijk |
| 52' | ⚽ | Marlos Moreno · Kortrijk |
| 69' | 🟨 | Aron Dønnum · Standard |
| 72' | 🟨 | Marko Ilić · Kortrijk |
| 77' | 🟨 | João Klauss · Standard |
| 82' | ⚽ | Merveille Bokadi · Standard |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lucas Rougeaux · Kortrijk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days | 121.00 | 271.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1519.84 | 1487.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.03 | -0.99 |
| eye test v1 | -0.71 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.55 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.40 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.74 |
| league points | 16.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.32 | -0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 22.82 | 26.24 |
| state index | -0.63 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | -0.90 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |