← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Fri, Oct 29, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: C. Dierick
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 42% | 2.55 |
| Oostende win | 33% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.85 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Oostende +0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Alfons Amade · Oostende |
| 26' | ⚽ | Hugo Cuypers · Mechelen |
| 37' | ⚽ | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
| 40' | 🟨 | Sheldon Bateau · Mechelen |
| 50' | ⚽ | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
| 56' | ⚽ | Makhtar Gueye · Oostende |
| 69' | 🟨 | Nick Bätzner · Oostende |
| 71' | 🟨 | Samuel Oum Gouet · Mechelen |
| 81' | ⚽ | Frederik Jäkel · Oostende |
| 85' | 🟨 | Makhtar Gueye · Oostende |
| 89' | ⚽ | Geoffry Hairemans |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oostende | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Diaz Arena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Vincent Koziello · Oostende |
| 90' | 🟨 | Théo Ndicka Matam · Oostende |
| 90' | 🟨 | Vincent Koziello · Oostende |
| 90' | 🟥 | Vincent Koziello · Oostende |
| 90' | 🟨 | Geoffry Hairemans · Mechelen |
| coach days | 485.00 | 1185.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 3.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1514.51 | 1618.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.34 | 36.40 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | 0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.68 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.64 |
| league points | 17.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 6.09 | 6.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.47 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.64 | -0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 25.01 | 26.28 |
| state index | 0.22 | 0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | -0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |