← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Oct 24, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 42% | 2.44 |
| Gent win | 32% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.65 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk +0 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Gent +0 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | ⚽ | Matisse Samoise · Gent |
| 53' | 🟨 | Patrik Hrošovský · Genk |
| 60' | 🟨 | Daniel Muñoz · Genk |
| 60' | ⚽ (pen) | Roman Bezus · Gent |
| 70' | 🟨 | Michael Ngadeu · Gent |
| 79' | ⚽ | Tarik Tissoudali · Gent |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ilombe Mboyo · Gent |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| coach days | 357.00 | 327.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 3.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1656.04 | 1680.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -50.83 | 26.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | 0.97 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 61.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.78 |
| league points | 20.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.20 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 2.90 | 2.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.19 | -0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 6.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 24.37 | 27.74 |
| state index | -0.26 | 0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.02 | -0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |