← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sat, Oct 23, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 55% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.20 |
| AS Eupen win | 21% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise +0.75 | 52% | 1.85 |
| AS Eupen +0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.58 |
| Under | 40% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ (pen) | Deniz Undav · St. Gilloise |
| 21' | 🟨 | Christian Burgess · St. Gilloise |
| 23' | 🟨 | Bart Nieuwkoop · St. Gilloise |
| 29' | ⚽ | Teddy Teuma · St. Gilloise |
| 68' | 🟨 | Deniz Undav · St. Gilloise |
| 75' | ⚽ | Edo Kayembe · AS Eupen |
| 78' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Agbadou · AS Eupen |
| 79' | ⚽ | Casper Nielsen · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jordi Amat · AS Eupen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 21 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Eupen | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadion am Kehrweg |
| coach days | 875.00 | 540.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 3.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1581.79 | 1584.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.50 | 36.75 |
| eye test v1 | 0.64 | 1.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 64.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| league points | 24.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 5.99 | 7.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.85 | 1.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 17.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.37 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 6.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.40 |
| squad age | 27.36 | 26.36 |
| state index | 0.39 | 0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.04 | -0.99 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |