← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sat, Oct 23, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Vergoote
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 63% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.69 |
| Waregem win | 17% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −1.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Waregem −1.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 73% | 1.33 |
| Under | 27% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Hugo Cuypers · Mechelen |
| 7' | ⚽ | Sandy Walsh · Mechelen |
| 10' | ⚽ | Zinho Gano · Waregem |
| 16' | ⚽ | Abdoulaye Sissako · Waregem |
| 40' | 🟨 | Ibrahima Seck · Waregem |
| 41' | 🟨 | Cameron Humphreys · Waregem |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 11 | Corners | 7 |
| 6 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne |
| coach days | 1179.00 | 3614.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1623.91 | 1485.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 51.23 | -22.95 |
| eye test v1 | 0.30 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 65.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.68 |
| league points | 22.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -8.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.22 | -0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.03 | 26.72 |
| state index | 0.99 | -0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | -0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |