← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sat, Oct 23, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 40% | 2.55 |
| Standard win | 33% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Club Brugge −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Samuel Bastien · Standard |
| 15' | 🟨 | Ameen Al-Dakhil · Standard |
| 16' | ⚽ | Jesper Daland · Club Brugge |
| 39' | 🟨 | Abdoul Tapsoba · Standard |
| 47' | 🟨 | Hamza Rafia · Standard |
| 54' | 🟨 | Hannes Van Der Bruggen · Club Brugge |
| 66' | 🟨 | Noe Dussenne · Standard |
| 67' | 🟨 | Denis Drăguş · Standard |
| 77' | 🟨 | Leonardo Lopes · Club Brugge |
| 80' | 🟨 | Hugo Siquet · Standard |
| 90' | 🟨 | Damjan Pavlović |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 22 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 7 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Jan Breydelstadion |
| coach days | 264.00 | 114.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.29 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1599.52 | 1515.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.14 | -35.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 47.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.68 |
| league points | 30.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 6.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.62 | -0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 23.55 | 22.94 |
| state index | -0.22 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.46 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |