← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Fri, Oct 22, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: W. De Cremer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 43% | 2.26 |
| Seraing United win | 31% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.76 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Seraing United +0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Charleroi +0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.55 |
| Under | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Antoine Bernier · Seraing United |
| 9' | ⚽ | Shamar Nicholson · Charleroi |
| 23' | ⚽ | Ali Gholizadeh · Charleroi |
| 35' | 🟨 | Joris Kayembe · Charleroi |
| 51' | ⚽ | Ryota Morioka · Charleroi |
| 70' | 🟨 | Benjamin Boulenger · Seraing United |
| 74' | 🟨 | Gerald Kilota · Seraing United |
| 87' | ⚽ (og) | Stefan Knežević · Seraing United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 1 | On target | 8 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Seraing United | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade du Pairay |
| coach days | — | 113.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.86 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1499.53 | 1564.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.32 | -8.28 |
| eye test v1 | 0.74 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.58 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.70 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.79 |
| league points | 12.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 6.19 | 5.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.01 | 0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 24.25 | 24.41 |
| state index | -0.23 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.49 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |