← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Oct 17, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 60% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.73 |
| AS Eupen win | 18% | 5.56 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent −1 | 52% | 1.89 |
| AS Eupen −1 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.56 |
| Under | 39% | 2.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Isaac Nuhu · AS Eupen |
| 30' | 🟨 | Bruno Godeau · Gent |
| 41' | 🟨 | Stef Peeters · AS Eupen |
| 42' | ⚽ | Tarik Tissoudali · Gent |
| 71' | 🟨 | Robin Himmelmann · AS Eupen |
| 71' | ⚽ | Laurent Depoitre · Gent |
| 90' | 🟨 | Leonardo Rocha · AS Eupen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 7 |
| 13 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | GHELAMCO-arena |
| coach days | 320.00 | 869.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.45 | 1.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1659.00 | 1591.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.19 | 16.61 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | 0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 60.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.64 |
| league points | 14.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 14.10 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | 0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 28.06 | 27.40 |
| state index | 0.54 | 0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.31 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |