← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Oct 17, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. D'hondt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 45% | 2.20 |
| Beerschot VA win | 29% | 3.47 |
| Draw | 26% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Beerschot VA +0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.84 |
| Under | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
| 45' | 🟨 | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
| 89' | 🟨 | Geoffry Hairemans · Mechelen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sandy Walsh · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 9 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Beerschot VA | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Olympisch Stadion |
| coach days | 46.00 | 1173.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1445.50 | 1617.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.64 | 31.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.60 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.62 |
| league points | 3.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 14.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 14.80 | 15.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 0.25 | 1.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.58 | -0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.47 | 26.11 |
| state index | -1.38 | 0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |