← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Oct 17, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: A. Boucaut
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 54% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 |
| St Truiden win | 20% | 4.81 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden +0.75 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Anderlecht +0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.86 |
| Over | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 47' | 🟨 | Daniel Schmidt · St Truiden |
| 48' | ⚽ (pen) | Lior Refaelov · Anderlecht |
| 56' | 🟨 | Jorge Teixeira · St Truiden |
| 56' | ⚽ | Mory Konate · St Truiden |
| 78' | ⚽ (pen) | Sergio Gómez · Anderlecht |
| 90' | ⚽ | Toni Leistner · St Truiden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 27 | Shots | 10 |
| 9 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadion Stayen |
| coach days | 108.00 | 442.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.94 | 1.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1518.07 | 1661.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.26 | 0.77 |
| eye test v1 | -0.62 | 0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.30 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.61 |
| league points | 14.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.40 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.60 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 14.79 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.11 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.61 | 0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.95 | 24.62 |
| state index | 0.18 | 0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.89 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |