← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sat, Oct 2, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: W. De Cremer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 54% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
| Club Brugge win | 21% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge +0.75 | 54% | 1.80 |
| St. Gilloise +0.75 | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.89 |
| Under | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Leonardo Lopes · Club Brugge |
| 24' | 🟨 | Teddy Teuma · St. Gilloise |
| 60' | ⚽ | Dante Vanzeir · St. Gilloise |
| 70' | 🟨 | Siebe Van Der Heyden · St. Gilloise |
| 79' | ⚽ | Dante Vanzeir · St. Gilloise |
| 81' | 🟨 | Waldo Rubio Marin · Club Brugge |
| 84' | ⚽ | Loïc Lapoussin · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Jan Breydelstadion |
| coach days | 243.00 | 519.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 3.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1623.02 | 1550.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.43 | 9.01 |
| eye test v1 | 0.48 | 1.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 68.67 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.69 |
| league points | 26.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 6.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.41 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.14 | 0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 23.23 | 27.02 |
| state index | 0.14 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | -0.84 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | — |