← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sat, Oct 2, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 46% | 2.20 |
| Oostende win | 28% | 3.79 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oostende −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| St Truiden −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.81 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Frederik Jäkel · Oostende |
| 17' | 🟨 | Liberato Cacace · St Truiden |
| 21' | 🟨 | Christopher Durkin · St Truiden |
| 52' | ⚽ | Taichi Hara · St Truiden |
| 56' | ⚽ | Makhtar Gueye · Oostende |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Oostende |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadion Stayen |
| coach days | 93.00 | 458.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.00 | 2.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1520.03 | 1511.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.26 | -20.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.50 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.63 |
| league points | 13.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.60 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.26 | -1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.83 | 23.86 |
| state index | -0.05 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.87 | -0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |