← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sat, Oct 2, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 38% | 2.62 |
| Kortrijk win | 35% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.62 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Kortrijk +0 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | 🟨 | Jackson Tchatchoua · Charleroi |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Faïz Selemani · Kortrijk |
| 46' | 🟨 | Stefan Knežević · Charleroi |
| 64' | ⚽ | Shamar Nicholson · Charleroi |
| 71' | 🟨 | Stelios Andreou · Charleroi |
| 73' | ⚽ | Rachid Alioui · Kortrijk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kristof D'Haene · Kortrijk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dylan Mbayo · Kortrijk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Karim Zedadka · Charleroi |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ali Gholizadeh · Charleroi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 21 |
| 8 | On target | 10 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Guldensporenstadion |
| coach days | 243.00 | 93.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1490.65 | 1546.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.07 | -7.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | 0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.60 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 50.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.64 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.72 |
| league points | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 5.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.05 | 0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.58 | 24.58 |
| state index | -0.26 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.62 | -0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |