← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Fri, Oct 1, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: N. Verboomen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 43% | 2.27 |
| Standard win | 32% | 3.02 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.81 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Mechelen −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.59 |
| Under | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Hugo Cuypers · Mechelen |
| 10' | ⚽ (pen) | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
| 18' | ⚽ | Sandy Walsh · Mechelen |
| 25' | 🟨 | Ameen Al-Dakhil · Standard |
| 28' | 🟨 | Sandy Walsh · Mechelen |
| 28' | 🟨 | Selim Amallah · Standard |
| 51' | 🟨 | Nikola Storm · Mechelen |
| 64' | 🟨 | Nicolas Gavory · Standard |
| 82' | ⚽ | Denis Drăguş · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 16 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.80 |
| venue | AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne |
| coach days | 1157.00 | 92.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.43 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1607.66 | 1530.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.67 | -19.18 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | -1.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.30 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.68 |
| league points | 16.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 4.99 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.58 | 0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 26.84 | 23.15 |
| state index | 0.39 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |