← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Sep 26, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Van Damme
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 46% | 2.08 |
| Mechelen win | 28% | 3.52 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Mechelen −0.25 | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Nikola Storm · Mechelen |
| 34' | 🟨 | Jackson Tchatchoua · Charleroi |
| 79' | 🟨 | Joachim Van Damme · Mechelen |
| 81' | ⚽ | Jordi Vanlerberghe · Mechelen |
| 84' | 🟨 | Rob Schoofs · Mechelen |
| 84' | 🟨 | Ferdy Druijf · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade du Pays de Charleroi |
| coach days | 87.00 | 1152.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1562.43 | 1591.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.55 | 15.35 |
| eye test v1 | 1.08 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.60 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| league points | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 8.01 | 8.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.80 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | -0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 24.13 | 26.92 |
| state index | 0.16 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.04 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |