← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Sep 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Dierick
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 62% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.40 |
| Club Brugge win | 15% | 7.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent −0.75 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Club Brugge −0.75 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Christopher Operi · Gent |
| 36' | 🟨 | Michael Ngadeu · Gent |
| 38' | ⚽ (pen) | Álex Millán · Club Brugge |
| 41' | 🟨 | Edgaras Utkus · Club Brugge |
| 51' | 🟨 | Leonardo Lopes · Club Brugge |
| 63' | ⚽ | Julien De Sart · Gent |
| 64' | 🟨 | Álex Millán · Club Brugge |
| 66' | 🟨 | Franck Kanouté · Club Brugge |
| 71' | 🟨 | Julien De Sart · Gent |
| 73' | ⚽ | Darko Lemajić · Gent |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kévin Denkey |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | GHELAMCO-arena |
| coach days | 299.00 | 237.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.22 | 3.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.69 |
| elo | 1653.83 | 1630.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.81 | 12.73 |
| eye test v1 | 0.82 | 0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.50 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.73 |
| league points | 11.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 12.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 21.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | -0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.78 | 23.04 |
| state index | 0.60 | 0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.27 | -0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |