← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sat, Sep 25, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk win | 43% | 2.30 |
| Waregem win | 31% | 3.24 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.88 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Waregem +0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.49 |
| Under | 35% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Cameron Humphreys · Waregem |
| 22' | 🟨 | David Hubert · Waregem |
| 24' | 🟨 | Mathias Fixelles · Kortrijk |
| 57' | ⚽ | Pape Habib Gueye · Kortrijk |
| 64' | 🟨 | Zinho Gano · Waregem |
| 71' | ⚽ | Eric Ocansey · Kortrijk |
| 83' | 🟨 | Kristof D'Haene · Kortrijk |
| 84' | ⚽ | Ewoud Pletinckx · Waregem |
| 88' | ⚽ (pen) | Jelle Vossen · Waregem |
| 89' | 🟨 | Bassem Srarfi · Waregem |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lasse Vigen Christensen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waregem | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Elindus Arena |
| coach days | 3586.00 | 236.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| elo | 1489.49 | 1488.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.23 | 17.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | -0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.30 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.72 |
| league points | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 40.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 0.90 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.20 | -9.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.41 | -1.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.34 | 26.25 |
| state index | -0.82 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | -0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |