← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Thu, Sep 23, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 44% | 2.15 |
| Gent win | 29% | 3.53 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht −0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Gent −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.89 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Amir Murillo · Anderlecht |
| 31' | 🟨 | Elisha Owusu · Gent |
| 39' | ⚽ | Alessio Castro-Montes · Gent |
| 55' | 🟨 | Bruno Godeau · Gent |
| 59' | ⚽ (pen) | Lior Refaelov · Anderlecht |
| 72' | 🟨 | Josh Cullen · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 418.00 | 296.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 4.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1669.54 | 1651.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.17 | 19.15 |
| eye test v1 | 0.89 | 1.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 64.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 2.28 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.73 |
| league points | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.60 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 57.40 |
| rest days | 4.09 | 3.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.83 | 0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.20 |
| squad age | 24.72 | 27.15 |
| state index | 0.84 | 0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |