← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sat, Sep 18, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: C. Dierick
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 79% | 1.22 |
| Draw | 13% | 8.67 |
| Waregem win | 7% | 17.09 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise −2.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Waregem −2.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 74% | 1.28 |
| Under | 26% | 3.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟥 | Abdoulaye Sissako · Waregem |
| 15' | 🟨 | Bassem Srarfi · Waregem |
| 18' | 🟨 | Ismael Kandouss · St. Gilloise |
| 53' | ⚽ | Deniz Undav · St. Gilloise |
| 78' | ⚽ | Zinho Gano · Waregem |
| 85' | ⚽ | Matthew Sorinola · St. Gilloise |
| 89' | 🟨 | Matthew Sorinola · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ewoud Pletinckx · Waregem |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 11 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Mariën |
| coach days | 505.00 | 3579.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1553.11 | 1496.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 43.49 | -7.64 |
| eye test v1 | 0.99 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.86 | 68.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.66 |
| league points | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 5.90 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.55 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.20 | -7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.17 | -0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.43 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.93 | 25.95 |
| state index | 0.88 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.80 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | — | 1.60 |