← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Sep 12, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: J. Lardot
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 60% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.55 |
| Mechelen win | 18% | 6.14 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht −1 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Mechelen −1 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.55 |
| Under | 38% | 2.55 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Benito Raman · Anderlecht |
| 36' | ⚽ | Nikola Storm · Mechelen |
| 49' | ⚽ | Christian Kouamé · Anderlecht |
| 57' | ⚽ | Christian Kouamé · Anderlecht |
| 60' | 🟨 | Kristoffer Olsson · Anderlecht |
| 61' | ⚽ | Amir Murillo · Anderlecht |
| 74' | ⚽ | Francis Amuzu · Anderlecht |
| 85' | ⚽ | Yari Verschaeren · Anderlecht |
| 87' | ⚽ | Joshua Zirkzee · Anderlecht |
| 90' | ⚽ | Onur Kaya · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 8 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 5 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 407.00 | 1138.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 3.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1647.69 | 1585.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.29 | -34.17 |
| eye test v1 | 0.63 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.65 |
| league points | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.00 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 13.79 | 15.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.21 | -0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.08 | 27.06 |
| state index | 0.34 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.43 | 0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |