← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sat, Sep 11, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: K. Van Damme
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 40% | 2.45 |
| AS Eupen win | 34% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.68 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Eupen +0.25 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Antwerp +0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.56 |
| Under | 39% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟨 | Ritchie De Laet · Antwerp |
| 41' | 🟨 | Koji Miyoshi · Antwerp |
| 41' | 🟨 | Radja Nainggolan · Antwerp |
| 55' | ⚽ | Michael Frey · Antwerp |
| 68' | 🟨 | Birger Verstraete · Antwerp |
| 80' | 🟨 | Pieter Gerkens · Antwerp |
| 87' | 🟨 | Smail Prevljak · AS Eupen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Eupen | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.54 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stadion am Kehrweg |
| coach days | 833.00 | 102.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -6.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1561.30 | 1613.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 52.25 | -21.78 |
| eye test v1 | 0.41 | 0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.57 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.71 |
| league points | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 13.91 | 13.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.75 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.19 | -0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 25.65 | 26.39 |
| state index | 0.70 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.73 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |