← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Aug 29, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oostende win | 57% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.33 |
| Waregem win | 20% | 5.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Waregem −1 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Oostende −1 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.43 |
| Under | 33% | 2.91 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Jelle Vossen · Waregem |
| 15' | 🟨 | Cameron Humphreys · Waregem |
| 38' | 🟨 | Théo Ndicka Matam · Oostende |
| 51' | 🟨 | Thierry Ambrose · Oostende |
| 60' | 🟨 | Bassem Srarfi · Waregem |
| 63' | 🟨 | Makhtar Gueye · Oostende |
| 63' | 🟨 | Jack Hendry · Oostende |
| 63' | 🟨 | David Hubert · Waregem |
| 67' | 🟨 | Nick Bätzner · Oostende |
| 84' | ⚽ | Jelle Vossen · Waregem |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 11 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oostende | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Diaz Arena |
| coach days | 424.00 | 3559.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1531.52 | 1489.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.89 | -15.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 62.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.67 |
| league points | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 9.01 | 7.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.57 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 0.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.39 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 23.21 | 25.90 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |