β Jupiler Pro League 2021 Β· Sat, Aug 28, 04:30 PM UTC Β· ref: J. Vergoote
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Eupen win | 58% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.23 |
| Seraing United win | 18% | 5.53 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Seraing United β1 | 53% | 1.85 |
| AS Eupen β1 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.59 |
| Under | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | π¨ | Ablie Jallow Β· Seraing United |
| 48' | β½ | Youssef Maziz Β· Seraing United |
| 51' | β½ | Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoniβ Β· Seraing United |
| 67' | π¨ | Emmanuel Agbadou Β· AS Eupen |
| 73' | π¨ | Boris Lambert Β· AS Eupen |
| 82' | π¨ | Edo Kayembe Β· AS Eupen |
| 90' | β½ (og) | Guillaume Dietsch Β· AS Eupen |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 8 | Fouls | 5 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Eupen | Seraing United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | β |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.42 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadion am Kehrweg |
| coach days | 819.00 | β |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | β |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | β |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1574.91 | 1503.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 67.74 | -9.61 |
| eye test v1 | 0.63 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | β |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | β |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | β |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.65 |
| league points | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.60 |
| season ppg | 2.14 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.70 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 4.71 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.97 | 24.49 |
| state index | 0.85 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.21 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | β |