← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Fri, Aug 27, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Boucaut
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk win | 39% | 2.44 |
| Mechelen win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Kortrijk −0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.64 |
| Under | 41% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Nikola Storm · Mechelen |
| 20' | ⚽ | Nikola Storm · Mechelen |
| 42' | 🟨 | Kevin Vandendriessche · Kortrijk |
| 42' | 🟨 | Muhammed Badamosi · Kortrijk |
| 56' | 🟨 | Rob Schoofs · Mechelen |
| 58' | ⚽ | Kristof D'Haene · Kortrijk |
| 66' | 🟨 | Geoffry Hairemans · Mechelen |
| 75' | 🟨 | Lucas Bijker · Mechelen |
| 76' | ⚽ | Pape Habib Gueye · Kortrijk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Guldensporenstadion |
| coach days | 207.00 | 1122.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 3.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1490.72 | 1586.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.71 | -23.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.44 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.50 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.56 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.65 |
| league points | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 4.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.80 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.18 | 0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.19 | 26.46 |
| state index | -0.02 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.56 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |