← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Fri, Aug 20, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 50% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 26% | 4.05 |
| Oostende win | 25% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard −0.5 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Oostende −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 66% | 1.45 |
| Under | 34% | 2.82 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 73' | 🟨 | Hugo Siquet · Standard |
| 77' | 🟨 | Arthur Theate · Oostende |
| 78' | ⚽ | Selim Amallah · Standard |
| 85' | 🟨 | Théo Ndicka Matam · Oostende |
| 88' | 🟨 | Samuel Bastien · Standard |
| 90' | 🟨 | João Klauss · Standard |
| 90' | 🟨 | Daouda Peeters · Standard |
| 90' | 🟨 | Arthur Theate · Oostende |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marko Kvasina · Oostende |
| 90' | 🟥 | Arthur Theate · Oostende |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 19 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Oostende |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days | 50.00 | 415.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 1.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1549.36 | 1539.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.19 | 38.97 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | 0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.70 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.89 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.57 |
| league points | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 5.30 | 6.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 2.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.41 | -1.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 23.88 | 23.41 |
| state index | -0.17 | 0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | -1.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |