← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Aug 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Verboomen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 58% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.50 |
| Mechelen win | 20% | 5.32 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent −1 | 50% | 1.96 |
| Mechelen −1 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.54 |
| Under | 37% | 2.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Michael Ngadeu · Gent |
| 55' | 🟨 | Sven Kums · Gent |
| 55' | 🟨 | Vinícius Souza · Mechelen |
| 77' | 🟨 | Sheldon Bateau · Mechelen |
| 87' | 🟨 | Andreas Hanche-Olsen · Gent |
| 90' | ⚽ | Núrio Fortuna · Gent |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 6 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 13 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | GHELAMCO-arena |
| coach days | 257.00 | 1110.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 3.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1623.28 | 1586.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.52 | -36.85 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.10 | 65.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.54 |
| league points | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 2.88 | 7.90 |
| season ppg | 0.33 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.59 | 0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.83 | 25.40 |
| state index | 0.11 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | 0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |