β Jupiler Pro League 2021 Β· Sat, Aug 14, 02:15 PM UTC Β· ref: W. De Cremer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 59% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.20 |
| Kortrijk win | 17% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk β1 | 52% | 1.87 |
| St. Gilloise β1 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | β½ | Dante Vanzeir Β· St. Gilloise |
| 10' | π¨ | Ante Palaversa Β· Kortrijk |
| 15' | π¨ | Timothy Derijck Β· Kortrijk |
| 39' | π¨ | Trent Sainsbury Β· Kortrijk |
| 43' | π¨ | Lucas Rougeaux Β· Kortrijk |
| 52' | β½ | Senne Lynen Β· St. Gilloise |
| 54' | π¨ | Teddy Chevalier Β· Kortrijk |
| 64' | π₯ | Mathias Fixelles Β· Kortrijk |
| 83' | π¨ | Marlos Moreno Β· Kortrijk |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 2 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 20 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | β |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | β |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | β | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | β |
| cards avg (last 5) | β | 2.40 |
| coach days | 470.00 |
| venue | Stade Joseph MariΓ«n |
| 194.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | β | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | β | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | β | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | β | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | β | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | β | 1.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | β | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | β | 0.45 |
| elo | 1530.95 | 1482.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | β | 29.30 |
| eye test v1 | 0.26 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | β | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.00 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | β | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | β | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | β | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | β | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | β | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | β | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | β | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | β | 0.63 |
| league points | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.67 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.67 | β |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | β | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | β | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | -1.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | β | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.67 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.16 | 27.86 |
| state index | -0.03 | 0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | -0.95 |
| threat rate (last 10) | β | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | β | 1.80 |