← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Fri, Aug 13, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Lardot
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 39% | 2.53 |
| Antwerp win | 33% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Antwerp +0 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | ⚽ | Viktor Fischer · Antwerp |
| 42' | 🟨 | Pieter Gerkens · Antwerp |
| 57' | ⚽ | Anass Zaroury · Charleroi |
| 71' | 🟨 | Ali Gholizadeh · Charleroi |
| 90' | 🟨 | Louis Verstraete · Antwerp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 12 | Corners | 1 |
| 6 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade du Pays de Charleroi |
| coach days | 43.00 | 73.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1553.24 | 1635.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.03 | -12.21 |
| eye test v1 | 0.34 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 69.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.65 |
| league points | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 5.20 | 5.30 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.86 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.24 | 0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 24.81 | 25.98 |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |