← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Aug 8, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 45% | 2.20 |
| Antwerp win | 28% | 3.56 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Antwerp −0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Michael Frey · Antwerp |
| 7' | 🟨 | Abdoulaye Seck · Antwerp |
| 37' | ⚽ | Michael Frey · Antwerp |
| 39' | 🟨 | Moussa Sissako · Standard |
| 44' | 🟨 | Manuel Benson · Antwerp |
| 48' | 🟨 | Samuel Bastien · Standard |
| 55' | ⚽ | Jackson Muleka · Standard |
| 59' | ⚽ | Michael Frey · Antwerp |
| 61' | ⚽ | Michael Frey · Antwerp |
| 68' | ⚽ | Michael Frey · Antwerp |
| 77' | ⚽ | Denis Drăguş |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 20 | Shots | 12 |
| 9 | On target | 6 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| 79' | 🟨 | Damjan Pavlović · Standard |
| 80' | 🟨 | Birger Verstraete · Antwerp |
| 80' | 🟨 | Ritchie De Laet · Antwerp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pieter Gerkens · Antwerp |
| coach days | 38.00 | 68.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1555.98 | 1618.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.66 | -34.91 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 66.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 6.69 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.13 | 0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 23.38 | 26.21 |
| state index | -0.08 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |