← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sat, Aug 7, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Kortrijk win | 30% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.96 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk +0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Kortrijk +0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.56 |
| Under | 39% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Teddy Chevalier · Kortrijk |
| 50' | 🟨 | Bryan Heynen · Genk |
| 52' | ⚽ | Paul Onuachu · Genk |
| 55' | 🟨 | Lucas Rougeaux · Kortrijk |
| 73' | 🟨 | Carel Eiting · Genk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gerardo Arteaga · Genk |
| 90' | ⚽ | Daniel Muñoz · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 17 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 5 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| venue | Guldensporenstadion |
| coach days | 187.00 | 279.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1488.41 | 1687.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.93 | 20.43 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | 1.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.45 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 71.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.68 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 85.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 5.99 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 21.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.91 | 1.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 6.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.80 |
| squad age | 27.65 | 24.15 |
| state index | 0.04 | 0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.58 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |