← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Fri, Jul 30, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: N. Verboomen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 62% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.50 |
| Oostende win | 15% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oostende −1.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Genk −1.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.49 |
| Under | 35% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Bryan Heynen · Genk |
| 30' | 🟨 | Jack Hendry · Oostende |
| 30' | ⚽ | Théo Bongonda · Genk |
| 32' | ⚽ | Marko Kvasina · Oostende |
| 49' | ⚽ | Makhtar Gueye · Oostende |
| 60' | ⚽ | Théo Bongonda · Genk |
| 62' | ⚽ | Thierry Ambrose · Oostende |
| 79' | ⚽ | Frederik Jäkel · Oostende |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 25 | Shots | 16 |
| 9 | On target | 7 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 2 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Oostende |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| venue | Luminus Arena |
| coach days | 271.00 | 394.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1703.83 | 1500.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.27 | -20.01 |
| eye test v1 | 0.75 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.70 | 52.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.87 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.60 |
| matches since blank | 17.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.40 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 19.00 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.03 | -0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 24.08 | 23.40 |
| state index | 1.10 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.07 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |