← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Jul 25, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 42% | 2.60 |
| Antwerp win | 31% | 3.60 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp −0.5 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Mechelen −0.5 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Michael Frey · Antwerp |
| 56' | ⚽ | Manuel Benson · Antwerp |
| 60' | ⚽ (og) | Ritchie De Laet · Mechelen |
| 66' | 🟨 | Sandy Walsh · Mechelen |
| 73' | ⚽ | Ferdy Druijf · Mechelen |
| 74' | ⚽ | Ferdy Druijf · Mechelen |
| 76' | 🟨 | Rob Schoofs · Mechelen |
| 79' | 🟨 | Birger Verstraete · Antwerp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jelle Bataille · Antwerp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 9 | On target | 5 |
| 13 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| venue | AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne |
| coach days | 1089.00 | 54.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.26 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1610.92 | 1643.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.95 | -5.91 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | -0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.86 | -0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.70 | 71.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 15.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | 0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.70 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.74 | 27.75 |
| state index | 0.63 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | 0.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |