← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, May 14, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Baert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Pau FC win | 31% | 3.14 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.95 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Pau FC −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.54 |
| Under | 38% | 2.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Neil El Aynaoui · Nancy |
| 10' | ⚽ | Samuel Essende · Pau FC |
| 11' | ⚽ | Lamine Cissé · Nancy |
| 28' | ⚽ | David Gomis · Pau FC |
| 36' | ⚽ | Antoine Batisse · Pau FC |
| 60' | 🟨 | Giovanni Haag · Nancy |
| 89' | 🟨 | Antoine Batisse · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Picot |
| coach days | 133.00 | 682.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.69 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1325.05 | 1437.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.29 | -0.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.00 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.66 |
| league points | 27.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 0.69 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.78 | 0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 26.32 | 26.95 |
| state index | -1.03 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.68 | 0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |