← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, May 14, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Lepaysant
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 39% | 2.45 |
| Nimes win | 34% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.89 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Nimes +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.66 |
| Under | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 48' | ⚽ | Julien Le Cardinal · Bastia |
| 52' | 🟨 | Nikolay Zolotov · Bastia |
| 65' | ⚽ | Benjamin Santelli · Bastia |
| 82' | 🟨 | Niclas Eliasson · Nimes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 12 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nimes | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.69 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade des Costières |
| coach days | 467.00 | 225.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1490.65 | 1499.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.57 | -24.38 |
| eye test v1 | 0.31 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.82 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.59 |
| league points | 55.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -11.00 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.89 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.21 | 29.74 |
| state index | -0.05 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |