← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, May 14, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Delerue
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 59% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.86 |
| Le Havre AC win | 19% | 5.11 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −1 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Le Havre AC −1 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.44 |
| Under | 33% | 3.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | ⚽ (og) | Baptiste Roux · Le Havre AC |
| 38' | ⚽ | Youssouf M'Changama · Guingamp |
| 76' | ⚽ | Mehdi Merghem · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 14 |
| 9 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 5 | Fouls | 4 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 378.00 | 1048.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.08 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1521.68 | 1472.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 45.11 | 0.60 |
| eye test v1 | 0.98 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| league points | 57.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 85.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 59.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.06 | 1.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.59 | 25.61 |
| state index | 0.74 | -0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | 1.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |