← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, May 7, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Stinat
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sochaux win | 38% | 2.53 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.07 |
| Valenciennes win | 31% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sochaux +0 | 56% | 1.73 |
| Valenciennes +0 | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.57 |
| Over | 38% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Rassoul Ndiaye · Sochaux |
| 39' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Ntim · Valenciennes |
| 50' | ⚽ | Ugo Bonnet · Valenciennes |
| 52' | 🟨 | Valentin Henry · Sochaux |
| 54' | 🟨 | Joeffrey Cuffaut · Valenciennes |
| 81' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Robail · Valenciennes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yann Kitala · Sochaux |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 14 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Sochaux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 1071.00 | 1253.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.01 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 1.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1399.01 | 1575.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.25 | 35.25 |
| eye test v1 | -0.80 | -0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.70 | 65.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | — |
| league points | 39.00 | 71.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.87 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.70 | 0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.76 | 27.10 |
| state index | -1.04 | 0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | 0.94 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |