← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, May 7, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Vernice
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 59% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.79 |
| Grenoble win | 15% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio +0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Grenoble +0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | ⚽ | Loris Néry · Grenoble |
| 54' | 🟨 | Adrien Monfray · Grenoble |
| 59' | 🟥 | Adrien Monfray · Grenoble |
| 64' | ⚽ | Riad Nouri · Ajaccio |
| 88' | 🟨 | Joris Correa · Grenoble |
| 90' | 🟨 | Manuel De Iriondo · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 13 |
| 1 | On target | 9 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days | 157.00 | 675.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.69 |
| elo | 1463.71 | 1561.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.12 | 31.88 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | 0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.50 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 41.50 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | — |
| league points | 46.00 | 72.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 71.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 36.80 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.55 | -0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 28.31 | 28.13 |
| state index | 0.18 | 0.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.16 | -0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |