← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, May 7, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Miguelgorry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC win | 78% | 1.22 |
| Draw | 14% | 7.50 |
| Nimes win | 8% | 12.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC −2 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Nimes −2 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 71% | 1.35 |
| Under | 29% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Anthony Briançon · Nimes |
| 27' | 🟨 | Stijn Spierings · Toulouse FC |
| 31' | 🟨 | Lamine Fomba · Nimes |
| 49' | ⚽ | Ado Onaiwu · Toulouse FC |
| 78' | ⚽ | Denis Genreau · Toulouse FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 25 | Shots | 6 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 15 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Toulouse FC | Nimes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.69 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.51 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stadium de Toulouse |
| coach days | 340.00 | 460.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.32 |
| elo | 1660.92 | 1494.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.89 | 20.30 |
| eye test v1 | 0.91 | -0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.44 | 0.88 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 62.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.71 |
| league points | 80.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.60 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.60 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 4.93 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 2.11 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | -8.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.36 | -0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.40 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.20 | 25.27 |
| state index | 0.81 | -0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.46 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |