β Ligue 2 2021 Β· Sat, Apr 30, 05:00 PM UTC Β· ref: M. Bollengier
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sochaux win | 56% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Bastia win | 17% | 6.09 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sochaux β0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Bastia β0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.61 |
| Over | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | π¨ | Lloyd Palun Β· Bastia |
| 20' | π¨ | Kylian Kaiboue Β· Bastia |
| 56' | π¨ | Yacouba Sylla Β· Bastia |
| 68' | β½ (og) | Anthony Robic Β· Sochaux |
| 73' | π¨ | Steve Ambri Β· Sochaux |
| 79' | β½ (og) | Florentin Pogba Β· Bastia |
| 90' | π¨ | Aldo Kalulu Β· Sochaux |
| 90' | β½ | Valentin Henry Β· Sochaux |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sochaux | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Auguste-Bonal |
| coach days | 1246.00 | 211.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1568.89 | 1521.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.51 | -1.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | -0.90 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.50 | 63.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.47 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | β | 0.59 |
| league points | 68.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 7.92 | 7.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.84 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.63 | -0.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.30 | 28.80 |
| state index | 0.60 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.84 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |